快去加油!OPEC+意外沒增產 油價飆破65 - 股票
By Tracy
at 2021-03-06T12:08
at 2021-03-06T12:08
Table of Contents
原文標題:
快去加油!OPEC+意外沒增產 油價飆破65美元大關
(請勿刪減原文標題)
原文連結:
https://tw.appledaily.com/property/20210305/6VKJQDAHJFEELEKUPCIPABNN7Q/
(請善用縮網址工具)
發布時間:
出版時間:16:09
(請以原文網頁/報紙之發布時間為準)
原文內容:
OPEC+開會決議維持產量不變,決定將大幅減產措施延長1個月,未如市場預期在疫苗接種
點亮全球經濟前景之際提高市場上的石油供應,紐約西德州原油期貨價格於台北時間今日
下午4點左右一度突破每桶65美元大關,寫下逾1年新高。
OPEC+(石油輸出國組織及盟國)於台北時間今晨決定下月繼續對石油生產實行嚴格限制
,原本期待增產的油市應聲大幅上漲。該決定標誌著沙烏地阿拉伯的勝利,沙烏地一直呼
籲收緊產量限制。在廣泛的疫苗接種使經濟活動復甦之際,OPEC+維持產量不變將使全球
石油市場面臨嚴峻的供應緊張,能源價格和通膨風險也隨之上升。
摩根大通因OPEC+決定而上調倫敦布蘭特原油價格預期,料布蘭特原油價格在今年2、3季
將平均達到每桶68-69美元,並預期布蘭特油價會在第2季觸及每桶80美元的峰值,並且均
價將在9月份突破每桶70美元。
摩根大通表示,OPEC+維持4月份產量目標不變,總體而言那是「我們所能料到的最好結果
」。
另外,高盛也在OPEC+宣布決定後,將第2季和第3季布蘭特油價預測分別提高5美元至每桶
75美元和80美元。高盛在報告中表示:「雖然OPEC+成員討論了疫情需求風險,但我們從
新聞發布會得到的訊息是,頁岩生產商自律可能是生產成長放緩的背後原因。」
OPEC+一直在爭論是否要恢復每天150萬桶的產量,但在沙烏地能源大臣敦促「保持警惕」
後,與會代表們決定維持產量在當前水準不變,但准許俄羅斯和哈薩克小幅增產。
在周四產量會議結束後的新聞發布會上,沙烏地能源大臣沒有對該國100萬桶自願性減產
措施做出明確安排,也沒有透露結束自願減產的時間,只告訴記者,現在不急著做這件事
。諮詢公司Energy Aspects首席石油分析師Amrita Sen表示:「OPEC+必然給市場帶來供
應過緊的風險。」
受OPEC+最新決策影響,倫敦和紐約原油期貨價格雙雙寫下2020年1月以來新高。紐約和紐
約西德州原油期貨價格周四收盤大漲4.16%至每桶63.83美元,今盤中一度續漲1.91%至每
桶65.05美元,截至台北下午4點22分,漲幅1.25%,報64.63美元。至於倫敦布蘭特原油期
貨,周四收盤激漲4.17%至每桶66.74美元,今盤中一度續揚2.13%至每桶68.16美元。(于
倩若/綜合外電報導)
心得/評論:
油價噴的亂七八糟~第一次覺得高盛還蠻準的...雖然即將突破目標價...我猜下週高盛準
備再度寫一些理由上修油價...上看100美元?
另外我比較好奇街口原油正2下週是要噴到哪?今年以來已經漲了50%了吧...
https://i.imgur.com/DHVyAQJ.jpg
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